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预测市场交易是通过买卖基于未来事件结果的“份额”来进行的。以下是核心步骤的简单说明:

1. 理解交易标的

  • 每个市场对应一个具体问题(例如:“某候选人是否赢得2024年选举?”)。

  • 份额通常以“是”或“否”两种形式存在,价格代表事件发生的概率(如“是”份额价格0.70表示70%概率)。

2. 下单交易

  • 买入看多:如果你认为事件会发生,购买“是”份额;价格越低,潜在回报越高。

  • 买入看空:如果你认为事件不会发生,购买“否”份额。

  • 卖出持仓:可随时卖出份额给其他交易者,价格随市场情绪波动。

3. 结算与收益

  • 事件发生后,正确结果的份额自动结算为1美元(或1单位平台代币),错误结果归零。

  • 收益计算:收益 = (结算价 - 买入价) × 数量。

    Prediction Market Trading Guide

    Prediction markets involve buying and selling "shares" based on future event outcomes. Here's a simple overview of the key steps:

    1. Understanding the Market

    Each market is based on a specific question (e.g., “Will a candidate win the 2024 election?”). Shares are typically in "Yes" or "No" form, and their prices reflect the probability of the event occurring (e.g., a "Yes" share priced at 0.70 indicates a 70% chance).

    2. Placing Trades

    • Buying to Go Long: If you think the event will happen, buy "Yes" shares. The lower the price, the higher the potential profit.

    • Buying to Go Short: If you think the event will not happen, buy "No" shares.

    • Selling Holdings: You can sell your shares to other traders at any time, with prices changing based on market sentiment.

    3. Settlement and Profits

    After the event, the correct outcome shares settle at $1 (or 1 unit of platform currency), while incorrect shares become worthless.

    Profit Calculation: Profit = (Settlement Price - Purchase Price) × Quantity.

简单例子:

市场:“明天会下雨吗?”

  • “是”份额当前价格:0.30美元

  • 你买入10份“是”(总成本3美元)

  • 如果下雨:结算价1美元,收益 = (1 - 0.30) × 10 = 7美元

  • 如果未下雨:份额归零,损失3美元

重要注意事项:

  • 监管风险:部分国家将预测市场视为赌博,需了解当地法规。

  • 流动性:小众市场可能难以及时买卖。

  • 信息验证:市场概率反映群体预期,但未必绝对准确。

建议从少量资金开始,熟悉规则后再逐步深入。交易的本质是用资金表达你的判断,并承担相应的风险

I have just confirmed with relevant team , 因为您的充值资金存在风险, 目前连同您的ForeGate wallet address也受牵连被 has been flagged as having potential security risks by our advanced security systems. All the new sign up rewards will not be credited

Important Security Update for Your ForeGate Wallet Account

Dear Valued User,

We hope this message finds you well. We are reaching out to communicate an important update regarding your ForeGate wallet account. Following a detailed assessment by our dedicated security team, it has been determined that there are potential risks associated with your recent deposit activity. Our system have marked your ForeGate wallet address for security monitoring. This is a preventive step to safeguard your assets and personal information against any potential threats.

Regrettably, due to the current circumstances, the new sign-up rewards linked to your account will not be credited at this moment. We are taking every necessary measure to ensure the integrity and security of our banking environment.

We sincerely apologize for any inconvenience this may present and appreciate your understanding and patience as we work to rectify this situation. Your security is of the utmost importance to us, and we are dedicated to resolving these issues as swiftly as possible.

For further assistance or to discuss the steps needed to secure your account, please do not hesitate to reach out to our support team. We are here to help you navigate this process smoothly and restore full access to your account benefits at the earliest.

Thank you for your trust and cooperation.

Warm regards,

The ForeGate Security Team We are reaching out to communicate an important update regarding your ForeGate wallet account.

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