Predictive Modeling For Market Creation
User- Creator Deploying predictive frameworks to create new markets
3.4 Prepare a market before opening the form
A strong market proposal is easier to review and safer to trade when the question is prepared in advance. Before selecting Create Market, prepare the following:
Preparation item
Standard to meet
Question
Clear, neutral, specific, and understandable without private context
Topic
A relevant category such as cryptocurrency, politics, technology, entertainment, sports, or other
Outcome
A defined Yes/No or other supported outcome structure
Timeframe
A precise opening and trading-stop time
Resolution rule
A plain-language explanation of what counts as each outcome
Source
A credible, public, and directly relevant verification source
Image
Relevant, high-definition, copyright-free image in a supported format
Community plan
A way to explain and promote the market without misleading users
Foregate’s creation guidance emphasizes verifiability, a clear outcome and timeframe, and compliance with content policy
1. How to apply for a market launch？
In the [Creator Center], click [Create Market] and fill out the required information. Your market will only be approved if it meets all specified requirements. When setting up a market, ensure compliance with the Creator Terms. All market topics must have:
Verifiability (with credible sources)
Clear outcome and timeframe
Compliance with ForeGate's content policy Example: "Will a specific event occur by a designated date?"
2. What types of markets can I create on ForeGate?
The platform currently supports AMM ( Automated Market Maker) Markets with Yes/No resolutions, Pari-Mutuel Shared Pool Markets that enable collective betting pools, and Liquidity Provider (LLP) Integration for enhanced liquidity participation. Additional market types are planned for future release as the platform’s capabilities continue to expand.
A . Core Settings
Type
Selection: • AMM (Automated Market Maker) • Pari-mutuel (Pool Betting)
AMM (Recommended): Provides continuous liquidity; users can trade with the liquidity pool at any time. Pari-mutuel: More like traditional pool; all losers' funds are distributed to the winners.
1. Selection: AMM 2. Selection: Pari-mutuel (Pool Betting)
Title
Text Input (Suggested word count: 0/200)
Requirements: Clear, neutral, and specific. Suggestion: Use a "whether" sentence structure, including the core event and key entities.
"2025 KPL Grand Finals: Will Chengdu AG defeat Chongqing Wolves?"
Topic
Optional: Cryptocurrency, Politics, Technology, Entertainment, Sports, Other
Select the category most relevant to the market content.
Selection: Sports
Display Image
File Upload (Formats: .png, .jpg, .jpeg)
Suggested dimensions: 360 x 360 pixels. Suggestion: Use high-definition, relevant, and copyright-free images.
Upload a composite image of the logos of Chengdu AG and Chongqing Wolves.
B . Rules & Verification
Rules
Text Input (0/2000)
【 Section】 Must clearly define: 1. Specific Conditions: What scenario counts as "Yes" and what counts as "No". 2. Time Boundary: The final cutoff time for result determination. 3. Verification Source: A clear, neutral, and publicly accessible third-party source.
This market predicts the outcome of the 2025 KPL Annual Grand Finals. The match is held on November 8, 2025. If Chengdu AG Superplay wins the championship, the result will be settled as "Yes"; if Chongqing Wolves win the championship, the result will be settled as "No". The result shall be based on the championship announcement published on the official KPL Weibo account.
Data Source
Link Input (URL or document )
Provide the verification source link mentioned in the rules. If it's a website, ensure the link directly leads to the relevant results page.
https://weibo.com/kpl (Official announcement link)
Date & Time
Start Date & End Date Automatic Timezone Setting (Based on device time): The system will automatically read your device's (e.g., computer, phone) current timezone settings and use this as your display timezone within the platform.
Start Date: The time when the market opens for trading. End Date: The time when the market stops trading. (Even if the outcome is not yet determined, trading will terminate at this time.) Tips | Notes: i. Note: The platform may settle early once the outcome is clear. ii. Additional Information: Creators must announce the result within 24hours after trading stops, ensuring that the "trading stop time" and "result announcement time" are no more than 24hours apart. This prevents early leakage of results from affecting trading. If the creator fails to announce the result within 24hours after trading stops, the market will be considered void and settled.
Start Time: 2024-11-05 08:00 End Time: 2024-11-06 20:00
C . Trading Parameters & Disclaimers
Option 1
Label & Initial Price The sum of the initial prices of all options is 1.00 (Formula: 1.00 ÷ Number of options). Based on this benchmark, the creator can freely adjust and set the opening price for each option before the market opens.
Typically "YES", initial price set to 0.400.
YES 0.400
Option 2
Label & Initial Price
Typically "NO", initial price set to 0.600.
NO 0.600
Risk Notice
-
Summary: • Earnings come solely from trading fees, not from user profits or losses. • Liquidity providers may suffer losses due to market imbalance. • Vague or unverifiable markets will be removed.
-
Agreement to Terms
Checkbox
Must be checked to agree to the platform's creator terms and rules.
Check ☑️
3 . How to set the outcome resolution criteria clearly?
Always define when, where, and how the outcome will be determined. Link to a reliable resolution source if possible (e.g., news outlet, official data). Vague or ambiguous criteria may result in rejection or disputes.
Your resolution criteria should clearly state:
What exactly will happen?
When will it happen?
What source will confirm it?
3.5 How To Efficiently Manage Market?
How to check market status?
Visit creator section and click [Market Management], check the information incluing: current status of the market (Under Verifying, Live, Upcoming, Resolve, Ended), total trading volume, total trading users, total holds of YES, total holds of NO, Share the market link with your community.
Can I edit or delete a market after publishing it?
Before approval: You can contact customer service to reject the application, then modify the market and resubmit.
After approval: Edits are not allowed.
Markets cannot be deleted, but the platform may delist or flag inactive or inappropriate ones.
How to deal with low-liquidity or inactive markets?
Promote your market via X (Twitter), communities, or embed it in your content.
If market trading volume is low, you still need to resolve the market by the deadline. Otherwise, it may be settled at the current market price automatically.
3.6 How do you structure and promote a high-volume prediction market?
🎯 Select High-Interest Topics:
Launch markets centered on timely, controversial, or highly anticipated events in politics, tech, or culture to capture immediate attention.
✍️ Craft Precise, High-Click Questions:
Write clear, unambiguous questions paired with definitive resolution criteria to establish immediate user trust and click-through.
📣 Deploy Targeted Community Marketing:
Seed your market links directly into active subreddits, Discord servers, and X (Twitter) spaces where the specific topic is already trending.
💰 Incentivize Trading Liquidity:
Drive early participation by offering volume-based rewards, trading airdrops, or subsidized initial odds.
💬 Moderate Active Discussion:
Foster continuous trading momentum by actively engaging with participants in the comment threads and highlighting shifting odds.
⏳ Capitalize on Critical Timing:
Time your market launch and peak promotion to coincide exactly with breaking news cycles or live event broadcasts.
3.6 What kind of benefits will you get when you become a creator?
💰2% trading fee will be set on your own market, earn up to 70% commission on trading fees
*When you enjoy 50% commission on creator program, the total trading volume of the market is 1,000,000 USDC/USDT. Your total earning on this market is: 1,000,000*2%*50%=10,000 USDC/USDT
🤩Receive fan tips and subscription income(Coming soon)
How to check your earning?
Visit creator section and click [Market Management], check the [Earning] to know the details about your own markets.
How long will you get your earning?
The fee earning from your market will be distributed to your account within T+1 days.
✨ Start predicting
Explore the markets you follow. Trade on the outcomes you believe in.
Put your knowledge into practice. Sign up — no KYC required.
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